Yeah, go with as close as possible to the original.
I don't fully know what the codes mean, but looking at the datasheet, there's a note at the bottom of page 1 and it suggests Y might an HFE of 120-240
2SC1815 pdf, 2SC1815 Description, 2SC1815 Datasheet, 2SC1815 view ::: ALLDATASHEET :::
The HFE/gain is very important - it sets how much the transistors amplify, so get it wrong and it'll be too dim, or saturated (and you'd have to do all 3 colours too, or it'd never look right). Happy to browse datasheets if you find something to try.
I'd say the probability of failure is greater as you move right, so the final stage transistors are more likely to be dead than A1015's.
There's 2 stages of transistors to chain-up the gain/current from the tiny amount that flows in the resistor arrays.